WMPO: Collin Morikawa. Gehman: Joseph Bramlett (50-1, DraftKings) Bramlett enters the week having made seven straight cuts and earning a T-13 in La Jolla and T-7 in Pebble Beach over his last two. Short-iron specialists, regardless of distance, consistently perform the best on an annual basis at all three courses. Abraham Ancer played in the final group of the Masters in November, but he's still looking for his first PGA Tour victory. Combine that with Sean O'Hair and Fritelli being extremely inconsistent, this is my whale play of the week. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. This guy seems to tear it up overseas on the DP World tour, but hasnt been able to catch his footing over here in the states. In fact, his last three tournaments in the states were on the Korn ferry Tour where he missed two cuts and didnt finish in the top 25 in the other. Hes been in the green on approach in five of the last six, and that pesky putter has shown brief glimpses of brilliance at the Sony Open and the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Varner was a first-round leader twice in 2020, joining Collin Morikawa, Russell Knox and Sebastian Munoz as the only golfers to accomplish that feat more than once last year. Schauffele (19-1), Zalatoris (19-1) and Tom Kim (20-1) are among the other notable contenders in The American Express 2023 field. Last season, he nailed the Tour Championship, saying Rory McIlroy was the only player capable of making up a six-stroke deficit to get past Scheffler. The RSM Classic winner is coming off a deceiving ninth-place finish at the Genesis Invitational, where he lost strokes in both ball-striking categories, while gaining a whopping 11 strokes putting and around the green. Hes third in SG/off the tee numbers in this field over the past 36 rounds (per RickRunGood.com), and though hes been struggling in his first few events of 2023, Im banking on a Keith Mitchell 2019 type of a week, where Mitchells results were bad coming in, but he caught fire here. Whether you're betting on golf, playing in a fantasy golf leagues or competing in a DFS (DraftKings, FanDuel) event, our picks highlight the top players to watch this week. Although the distance is non-existent, the Brit has been the most accurate driver in the field over the past 24 rounds per Fantasy National. Their names? section: | slug: 2023-sony-open-dfs-top-draftkings-fanduel-daily-fantasy-golf-picks-pga-lineups-advice-strategy | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | Hell see a reprieve in this weaker field and he should be brimming with confidence. Thomas Detry: Why rate Detry so high this week? Out of those players listed, Wolffs odds have the best valueyou can find Wolff to win the PGA Championship at 50-1 odds. We use cookies and other tracking technologies to improve your browsing experience on our site, show personalized content and targeted ads, analyze site traffic, and understand where our audiences come from. Golf DFS Fantasy Golf Picks 2022 Wells Fargo Championship Picks, Predictions, Rankings and Sleepers Pat Mayo makes his 2022 Wells Fargo Championship Picks while breaking down the field and rankings for the event and previewing the course and key stats. RELATED: Legal gambling on pro golf has surged in recent yearsand there's much more to come. Hes been on a heater with back-to-back top-three finishes before the MC in Phoenix. Leaderboard Watch News FedExCup Schedule Players Stats Golfbet More PGA TOUR PGA TOUR Champions Korn Ferry Tour PGA TOUR Canada PGA TOUR Latinoamrica LPGA TOUR DP World Tour PGA TOUR University. Which overlooked players can help you win your league this week? From Mayo: Three top-10s (including at the Masters) over his final four starts in 2020 showcases what eventually could be for the Canadian if he could make a few more seven-foot putts in 2021. Sure, he didnt play great on the west coast, which actually improves his value here. Follow him on Twitter: @adplacksports. Gambling Problem? RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? Picks like these could be the difference between winning your PGA DFS contests or going home with nothing. The latest 2023 American Express odds from Caesars Sportsbook list Rahm as the 13-2 favorite, and he is the highest-priced golfer at DraftKings at $10,800. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at Hes in great company as the others are Jon Rahm, Dustin Johnson, Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele and Patrick Cantlay. Meanwhile, the other two in the group haven't been able to find their footing multiple weeks in a row. Eligibility restrictions apply. His tee-to-green game has been elite and he supplements that with a stellar short-game. In his past six starts, hes gained over six strokes on approach and lost over six in separator starts. For the 2022 BMW Championship, Gates is touting a massive sleeper for fantasy rosters who is priced at less than $7,000 at DraftKings . All Rights Reserved. Thankfully at Golf Digest, we listen well. 13 in the , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. Theres a reason he can be in play for a first-round leader, for FanDuel value, top-10s and even outrights, particularly on Bermuda courses. Hes among only 10 players to rank in the 75th percentile or better in all three tee-to-green stats over his past 100 rounds and at least the 50th percentile in putting. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Follow him on Twitter: @ThePME. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. This tournament has almost 20 percent of the world top 50, which isn't bad, but it's going to feel like a letdown after the last two weeks. Ben is an up-and-coming rookie who has played great this year including getting into contention a couple times. He also has the third-highest salary on DraftKings, but his placement odds are more reasonableso I think hes a smart top-10 or top-20 bet. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | Hes cashed this bet in 6.25 percent of his starts since January 2019and while that is a small percentage of the time, you'll reap the benefits (usually with odds of 50-1 or greater) when it happens again. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. Genesis: Collin Morikawa. Spieth, meanwhile, is one of the most experienced players in the 2023 Sony Open field and he's coming off a T-13 finish at the Sentry Tournament of Champions. After that top end, it quickly drops into defending champ Tom Hoge, Seamus Power, Matt Kuchar, Justin Rose, Joel Dahmen, Mav McNealy, and Kevin Kisner. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. His five top-10 finishes since July arent fluky: They stem from top-tier iron play and overall tee-to-green performance. Hes got three top-10s to his name on tour since July without great form surrounding them. Genesis: Justin Thomas. Zozo: Sungjae Im. Probably not, but were all going to have to hold our nose and swallow on a few bad numbers this week. All Rights Reserved. Now, were finally catching fire again, with Gdula cashing another winner at the WM Phoenix Open (Scottie Scheffler, 13-1) and Rick Gehman correctly predicting Jon Rahms Genesis Invitational victory at +750. Scheffler is the defending champion of this event, and he's finished T-12 or . Theres analysis you wont find anywhere else. Of course, DFS golf is more popular than ever, which means its more competitive than ever, too. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for RickRunGood.com, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Denny McCarthy (28-1, DraftKings) McCarthy has missed just one cut (Phoenix) in his last nine starts and has threatened the top of the board in Bermuda (T-6), Pebble Beach (T-4) and Genesis (T-14). The likes of Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay and Will Zalatoris also are part of The American Express 2023 field that is among the best in the tournament's 63 years. Follow him on Twitter: @gdula13. Looking at it another way, Blixt, Suh, Blair, Kuchar, William McGirt, JB Holmes, Taylor Moore, Denny McCarthy, Troy Merritt, and McNealy are the only players in this field gaining against the field in over 70% of rounds on Poa putting surfaces over that stretch. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Will Gordon (66-1, BetMGM) Im surprised were getting such a good number on Gordon, one of the most talented players in the field. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. The golf expert has been on a roll on his picks since last season. Cole ranks top five in the field in scrambling and sand saves for the year and has done his best work over his short PGA career on shorter courses. 4. To go along with four made cuts in five appearances at PGA National, Poston also possesses a strong resume on courses with lots of water that emphasize middle irons, with high finishes at TPC Twin Cities, TPC Sawgrass and TPC Southwind. Poston is coming off a respectable showing at the Sentry Tournament of Champions, securing a T-21 finish in Hawaii. Mayo won the 2022 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and is a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). Its quite strange, too, considering hed gained in seven of eight starts previous to the awful run. May as well take another ride on the Kirk train, which will undoubtedly end like it always doeswith him ball-striking his way into contention and then failing to make anything inside of 10 feet on Sunday when he needs to. Top-10 results from the Genesis Invitational: Mayo: 1 for 1 (Max Homa +220); Gdula: 1 for 1 (Patrick Cantlay +220); Lack: 1 for 1 (Patrick Cantlay +220); Powers: 1 for 1 (Collin Morikawa +210); Caddie: 0 for 1; Gehman: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Gdula: 7 for 16 (up 18.6 units); Gehman: 5 for 16 (up 10.55 units); Lack: 3 for 7 (up 3.9 units); Mayo: 5 for 15 (up 3.1 units); Hennessey: 3 for 16 (down 0.45 units); Powers: 2 for 16 (down 7.9 units); Caddie: 2 for 16 (down 7.95 units), RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? He is 131st in driving accuracy, and while he ranks seventh in greens in regulation, he is 120th in proximity to the hole. The 29-year-old has finished in the top 10 three times in five events this season, but only one was in the top five. Three of the sharpest data scientists in golf, Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; and Pat Mayo of Mayo Media Network, DraftKings and Fantasy National, contribute their picks every week to our Golf Digest weekly experts picks column. Now, Holliman has ranked his top golfers from the 2023 Genesis Invitational field. Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. The Honda Classic, once an event that tracked tons of top pros including Tiger Woods, has its weakest field in recent memory, with not a single player inside the top 17 in the world rankings teeing it up at PGA National this week. 2. Despite missing the cut in Phoenix, Wise still gained 0.3 strokes off-the-tee and one stroke on approach, improving in both ball-striking categories from another disappointing MC at the American Express. See who else to back right here. Matsuyama is the defending champion of this event and he's won eight times on the PGA Tour. If he isn't locked in, he could find some trouble. While he had been struggling to find form earlier in the year, the 27-year-old has proven his ball-striking upside by gaining 2.1 strokes on approach in a world-class field last week at Riviera. 7. Min Woo Lee: MWL is making the rare US start, so it will be interesting to see if his great DP World Tour form carries over this week. Figuring out which PGA Tour golfer is the best in the world right now isn't easy. Chris Kirk: Kirk missed the cut at Phoenix in somewhat surprising fashion, but I expect a bounceback. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at section: | slug: 2023-genesis-invitational-fantasy-golf-rankings-picks-sleepers-back-jon-rahm-avoid-xander-schauffele | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | AT&T Pebble Beach: Seamus Power. In addition, McClure's model is up over $9,500 on its best bets since June 2020, nailing tournament after tournament. 2022 3M Open Fantasy golf expert picks Im has been in a rut for a few weeks, but Gates isn't hesitating to back the South Korean this week. Perhaps hes close to putting it altogether at Honda, where hes finished 17th and 12th in his last two appearances. 1. Gehman: Kevin Tway (+1000, DraftKings) Tways game is rounding into form right now. Over the past two years, Varner trails only Brooks Koepka, Justin Thomas and Rory McIlroy in the number of times his name has been on top of the leader board after 18 holes. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. Poston actually struck the ball better than Svensson at Riviera, and he now returns to a course that should suit his game. This is the first tournament of the year with a full complement of Poa Annua greens. I like Adam this week for numerous reasons. Scanning through his five career international wins between the DP World and Challenge Tours, they all come on a combination of short, links and/or wind-affected tracks with his best U.S. finishes all coming at more difficult than average courses: TPC Southwind, Torrey Pines, St. Georges and The Concession. He's been hanging around 30th place in his last four starts. 2022 Rocket Mortgage Classic Fantasy golf expert picks One player Gates isn't hesitating to back this week is Cantlay, who doesn't bring great value but will help you win. Bay Hill Club & Lodge will be the host in Orlando this week as we are readying for another PGA Tour designated event at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. 21+ (19+ CA-ONT) (18+ NH/WY). Harold Varner III hasn't converted on his first PGA Tour victory yetbut you can make money betting on him in the first round. Bet $5, Get $200 Guaranteed when betting on the PGA with FanDuel Scottish Open Picks and Predictions - Outright Winner Jon Rahm (12/1) (Bet $100 to Win $1200) *Odds available at BetMGM at time of publishing. He is a scratch golfersometimes. RELATED: Golf One-and-Done 2020-'21 Guide: 9 tips for winning these popular yearlong contests. Houston Open: Sepp Straka. In his free time, Andy can likely be found on a golf course. Powers: Chris Kirk The Florida Swing is when Chris Kirk eats and youd have to think this would be his best chance to finally break his win drought against a weak field. The Florida-based writer knows what it takes to win on the PGA Tour and how the players' games fit the courses. 1, but Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm can make an argument for being the best. The issue comes on and around the green for Conners. If his game travels at all this week, he should be a solid option in most formats. Now he enters a tournament where his iron play is the class of the field, ranking ninth in this field in SG/approach over his last 36 rounds. Before the COVID-19 hiatus, there were only a handful of players better tee to green than Bubba. "He has a lot of ground to make up," Holliman said, "but he is the most well-rounded player in this field, so if anyone can do it, he can." His recent performance backs that up, as he has four victories and seven top-five finishes in his past nine worldwide events. Tournament match-ups are often released by Tuesday at many top sportsbooks along with expert picks from PGA Tour staff and Golf Digest panel among other leading handicappers and analysts. Hence the extra consideration for SG: Around The Green. Obviously one round is a tiny sample size, so its best to embrace variance and find golfers who tend to get off to hot starts.
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